Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 38.4% 61.6% Gabriel Attal

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Jean-Luc Mélenchon	Gabriel Attal
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.	Remove tax on overtime.
Taxes and spending	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.
Immigration	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.
Europe and defence	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.	No specific proposal known.
Institutions and security	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.	No specific proposal known.

Jean-Luc MélenchonGabriel Attal