Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 49.4% 50.6% Marine Tondelier

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Jean-Luc Mélenchon	Marine Tondelier
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.
Taxes and spending	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.
Immigration	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.	No specific proposal known.
Europe and defence	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.
Institutions and security	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.	No specific proposal known.

Jean-Luc MélenchonMarine Tondelier