Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Le Pen 65.9% 34.1% Fabien Roussel

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Marine Le Pen	Fabien Roussel
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.	Retirement at 60 on a full pension and a 32-hour week with no loss of pay.
Work and purchasing power	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net and a general pay rise; VAT on energy cut to 5.5%.
Taxes and spending	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.	No specific proposal known.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.	Regulated reception and republican integration.
Europe and defence	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.	Leave NATO, a policy of peace and disarmament, strict control of arms sales.
Energy and climate	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.	Public nuclear power: renationalise EDF and Engie, build at least six EPR reactors, cut electricity prices by up to 30%.
Institutions and security	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.	No specific proposal known.

Marine Le PenFabien Roussel