Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Tondelier 45.2% 54.8% Éric Zemmour

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Marine Tondelier	Éric Zemmour
Pensions	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.	No specific proposal known.
Taxes and spending	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).
Immigration	No specific proposal known.	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.
Europe and defence	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.

Marine TondelierÉric Zemmour