Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Tondelier 38.9% 61.1% Marine Le Pen

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Marine Tondelier	Marine Le Pen
Pensions	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.
Taxes and spending	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.
Immigration	No specific proposal known.	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.
Europe and defence	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.

Marine TondelierMarine Le Pen