Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Tondelier 28.8% 71.2% Raphaël Glucksmann

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Marine Tondelier	Raphaël Glucksmann
Pensions	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.
Taxes and spending	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.
Immigration	No specific proposal known.	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.

Marine TondelierRaphaël Glucksmann