Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Raphaël Glucksmann 36.3% 63.7% Bruno Retailleau

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Raphaël Glucksmann	Bruno Retailleau
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.
Work and purchasing power	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.
Taxes and spending	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.	No specific proposal known.
Immigration	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.
Europe and defence	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.	No specific proposal known.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.

Raphaël GlucksmannBruno Retailleau