Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Raphaël Glucksmann 49.7% 50.3% Éric Zemmour

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Raphaël Glucksmann	Éric Zemmour
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).
Work and purchasing power	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.	No specific proposal known.
Taxes and spending	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).
Immigration	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.
Europe and defence	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).
Energy and climate	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.

Raphaël GlucksmannÉric Zemmour