Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Raphaël Glucksmann 56.6% 43.4% Fabien Roussel

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Raphaël Glucksmann	Fabien Roussel
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.	Retirement at 60 on a full pension and a 32-hour week with no loss of pay.
Work and purchasing power	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net and a general pay rise; VAT on energy cut to 5.5%.
Taxes and spending	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.	No specific proposal known.
Immigration	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.	Regulated reception and republican integration.
Europe and defence	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.	Leave NATO, a policy of peace and disarmament, strict control of arms sales.
Energy and climate	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.	Public nuclear power: renationalise EDF and Engie, build at least six EPR reactors, cut electricity prices by up to 30%.

Raphaël GlucksmannFabien Roussel