Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Raphaël Glucksmann 50.7% 49.3% Gabriel Attal

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Raphaël Glucksmann	Gabriel Attal
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.
Work and purchasing power	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.	Remove tax on overtime.
Taxes and spending	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.
Immigration	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.
Europe and defence	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.	No specific proposal known.

Raphaël GlucksmannGabriel Attal